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Vector-borne diseases and their possible distribution change with warming

Disease

Vector

Population at risk (millions)

Present distribution

Likelihood of altered
distribution with warming

Malaria

mosquito

              2,100

(sub)tropics

highly likely

Shistosomiasis

water snail

                 600

(sub)tropics

very likely

Filariasis

mosquito

                 900

Africa/Latin America

likely

Onchocerciasis
(river blindness)

black fly

                  90

tropical Africa

likely

African trypanosomiasis
(sleeping sickness)

tsetse fly

                  50

tropics

likely

Dengue fever

mosquito

            unavailable

tropical South

very likely

Yellow fever

mosquito

            unavailable

America & Africa

likely

 

Source: Watson, R.T., J.A. Dixon, S.P. Hamburg, A.C. Janetos, and R.H. Moss (1998), Protecting Our Planet, Securing Our Future, UNEP/U.S.NASA/WB, 95 pp.

From: GESAMP71:47